Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, dan Kurs Nilai Tukar terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Periode 2021-2024

Rambe, Efna Efe Linda Br (2025) Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, dan Kurs Nilai Tukar terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Periode 2021-2024. Sarjana (S1) thesis, STIE Tri Bhakti.

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Abstract

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) is one of the main indicators representing the performance of the Indonesian capital market and economic conditions. Data on the movement of the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) for the 2021–2024 period shows an upward trend, from an average of 6,186.02 in 2021 to 7,275.33 in 2024, despite annual fluctuations. This pattern reflects post-pandemic recovery, corrections due to global pressures, and renewed strengthening in 2024. This research uses a quantitative research design with the data processing application IBM SPSS Statistics 27. The sample in this study is time series data from 2021 to 2024, resulting in a total of 48 sample data. The results of this study indicate that the inflation variable partially has a significant and positive effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) as indicated by the sig value of 0.015 < 0.05 and the calculated t value of 2.545 is greater than the t table value of 2.01537. Interest rates partially do not have a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) as indicated by the sig value of 0.308 > 0.05 and the calculated t value of 1.031 is smaller than the t table value of 2.01537. The Exchange Rate partially has no significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) as indicated by the sig value of 0.063 > 0.05 and the calculated t value of 1.907 which is smaller than the t table value of 2.01537. Simultaneously, Inflation, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates have a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) as indicated by the sig value of 0.000 < 0.05 and the calculated F value of 15.149 which is greater than the F table value of 2.82. As well as the results of the determination test of 0.475 which means that inflation, interest rates, exchange rates are able to explain the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) variable by 47.5%.

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